What can we expect in the next decade?

Had any thoughts yet? I have – plenty and judging from the number of media inquiries it appears lots of other people are also curious to know what might lie ahead in the next year or next decade. I’m putting my thinking hat on so that we can consider what 2010-2019 might hold, the second decade of this century, as well as some ideas for the short term futures for 2010. And what are your thoughts – by all means let me know

Some initial thoughts are that sometime in the next decade we’ll have a solid customisable offering for personal medicines that are likely to be based on genetic coding.  We’ll see humanoid robotics in health care in Japan spill into other applications such as train stations; we’ll see an increase in pressures on water consumption in Australia with in-fighting amongst seemingly cohesive groups like farmers; and there will be a major increase in citizen action by-passing real or perceived blockages in the Government arenas in areas such as carbon trading, water and intellectual property.  I’ll probably post a lot more on these topics early in the year.  In the meantime, let me know your own thoughts or ask any futures related question via email

Will a Change in Greens Leadership make the Nationals Redundant?

May 5, 2015

With the moderately surprising news that Christine Milne had decided to step out of her current political life, Dr Richard Di Natale moved into the driver’s seat for the Greens. And I flag that this spells trouble for the National Party because this shift, this change in voice and style, connected to similar passions, will…

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Why most Strategic Plans are little more than wish-lists

Apr 21, 2015

In fact I’ll go one step further and say that many Strategic Plans are DELIBERATE methods for NOT Progressing. In far too many organisations, the process of Strategic Planning is about compliance to a process of ‘having a plan’ and typically it has nothing to do with achievement of the outcomes listed in the Strategic…

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Why Battery Technology will force Power Companies to embrace domestic supply

Mar 11, 2015

Around Australia and parts of the world like the USA, some governments and especially many large scale power utilities, are pursuing a campaign to prevent domestic solar from being fed back into (sold to) the grid. I’m assuming that the (fundamentally flawed) thinking is that by denying additional energy production points, they’ll prop up or…

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Men, What Will Your Legacy Be?

Feb 23, 2015

I’m male. You may like to take that into consideration with the rest of what you read as, a) I’m part of the problem b) Whatever I say cannot, no matter how well intentioned, be in anyway able to represent women     I’m prompted to write this particular piece following on from the ABC’s…

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The Future of Energy

Feb 19, 2015

  On a day when The Age front page ran a story of mass disconnections of householders struggling to pay their domestic electricity bill, Futurist Marcus Barber and ABC Goulburn Murray’s Joseph Thomsen discuss the future of energy – what’s happening now, what are we going to see in the future and what can consumers…

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Eat OR Extract? You CANNOT do Both

Feb 5, 2015

With Farmland across NSW, Queensland, & the Northern Territory under pressure from the mining sector, the quality of discussion as to which land use is of best outcome or most suitable seems to go astray. I’ve been flagging the ‘Eat’ OR ‘Extract’ challenge for a few years now and this radio interview is one example…

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2015 will be the International Year of Battery Technology

Dec 30, 2014

For the past few years I’ve decided to declare each year to be something I think the world needs or is likely to see. It’s not so much about the prediction but more about the likely focus that will benefit the world. So I’m declaring this year to be the International Year of Battery Technology…

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Why Uber is not part of the Sharing Economy

Dec 17, 2014

I keep reading posts that Uber is an example of the ‘sharing economy’, the one in which people freely share what they have with others. But it’s NOT – it is instead part of what I call the ‘Utilisation Economy’ which is about use of spare capacity. About 15 years ago I began writing about…

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Incumbent models are vulnerable to leapfrogging technology. Here’s why:

Nov 8, 2014

One of the reasons I founded The Australian Strategic Planning Institute was to ensure that high quality futures perspectives were included in the Strategic Planning process. Typically they were not which meant too many businesses and organisations were planning for futures that just would not exist as expected, meaning wasted resources and sometimes and marked…

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Down the Drain with a Four Minute Shower – redux

Oct 21, 2014

As Victorian edges its way into a new drought phase and plays catch up to other parts of the country, I’ve been pushed to remember an article I wrote about our then State Government’s push to get people to reduce the length of their showers. The Four Minute Shower was an attempt to highlight just…

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