Does the Mayan Calendar recommend opening your Christmas present early?

Here it comes, the 21st of December 2012 – the last known recorded date on the Mayan Calendar and for years people have wondered why the Mayans never got around to extending beyond 2012. What did the Mayans know that we didn’t and should we be thinking about opening our Christmas presents early this year? The answer is most definitely a

resounding ‘sure why not’.

The film ‘2012’ took a leaf out of the Mayan calendar and extended it into a ‘doomsday prophecy’ offering that I’ve been asked about quite often. Rather than let me tell you to panic or yawn, here’s a little background:

The Mayans (like many other peoples around the world) had develop incredible insight into keeping time long before the industrialised world created clocks or heaven forbid, a military calander based on seasonal adjustments to what uniforms to wear. The Mayan’s Calendar wheel marked off a ‘Kin’ (one day) all the way out to a Baktun (400 years). In between you could track a Katun (a period of around 20 years).

And so this coming 21st of December 2012 marks the last recorded date of their last created Baktun calendar of 400 years. Let’s take a few things into consideration here – a society with the insights to consider and plan for a period of 400 years ahead makes our so called ‘western’ approach of quarterly reports look childish. The key question then is ‘What can we learn from the last Baktun Mayan Calendar – is it really the end of the earth as we know it?’

The Mayans were a hugely successful society with a population far bigger than any European city at the same time, using advanced agriculture and technology with strict rules for societal management. And yet, despite their success, within a relatively short time it had all but vanished. The Mayan way of life was dictated on what many today would refer to as ‘tribal superstitions’ with core ‘prophecies’ to appease the deities they worshipped. In modern times we have our own deities – economists, priests of market forces, purveyors of technological solutions, all designed to ensure a successful way of life. Is our reliance on our own modern day priests of prophecising a clue?

It is likely that as part of their way of life, the idea of ‘noble sacrifice’ was strong – humans were offered to the gods in ritualised murder. When you get belief systems based on human observation and not on understood scientific testing, you have a potential for disaster. For the Mayans it appears that the result of their belief structure and human sacrifice was an eventual poisoning of their fresh water supplies. As more people began to get sick from drinking tainted water, the powers that be called for ‘more sacrifices’ and as more people were sacrificed, the water problem exacerbated. As death swarmed through the population eventually the remaining people did what they knew was the right thing to do – leave the city, flee the wrath of the gods. And eventually, the jungle reclaimed its territory.

Any clues there for the way we currently operate? We certainly face a severe water shortage around the world – whilst we may have smartened up and stopped sacrificing each other, we’ve shifted the sacrifice onto other species or parts of the planet. I wonder whether earth spots the difference?

Which all comes down to the question ‘should I open the presents early?’ No. The Mayans did not prophecise the end of the world. When you plan 400 years ahead, you don’t need to do a calendar too often. Their final one was just the last one they had gotten around to doing before their world went pear shaped as a result of what they believed in. But given our beliefs and approach to our own environments, it might be a different story next year…

2012 International Year of Resilience – top 10 Tips

Dec 20, 2011

In thinking about the year ahead I’ve decided to call it the International Year of Resilience. With everything that appears to be going on in the world there’s unlikely to be any quick fixes and so I provide for you here below, my Top 10 Tips for building more resilience into your lives. If you…

Read More >

Rising Household Energy Costs NOT due to Environmental Polices

Dec 15, 2011

The United Kingdom’s Committee on Climate Change has released a report that shows rising household energy costs are not caused by the apparent burden of environmental policies. Instead the core factor is increases in costs increases of Oil and Gas as the Energy resource sector taps into a ‘growth’ market.   You can have a…

Read More >

Official Reports for Travelers – who should you believe?

Dec 5, 2011

After a great although too brief trip to Islamabad in Pakistan, I joined Vicki Kerrigan on ABC Radio Darwin to discuss the idea of official reports for travelers and who you should believe. Sometimes we fear the unknown because we aren’t well enough informed. In the absence of any other information, the Official line is…

Read More >

The massive missing piece of Australia’s Tourism approach

Nov 24, 2011

It’s taken me a while to get the Tourism Thinking piece together given the extensive travel this year that has enabled me to assess where Australia’s tourism is not getting things right. This update won’t paint the full picture (a couple of clients have first crack at this research) but it is important enough to…

Read More >

A Wildcard to Top them all

Nov 16, 2011

I alert you from the outset that I’m about to make a massive leap of potentially an supportable scientific theory in discussing a potential Wildcard event. If you’re only interested in the concrete real stuff, head elsewhere after you get about half way. I’m going to make a massive leap first of all and then…

Read More >

Asteroid Management and Mining

Nov 10, 2011

n this MP3 with Paul Dale on ABC Darwin radio we chat about the recent fly past of a large chunk of rock called Asteroid YU55, and what we might do as a species in managing a potential Asteroid impact. We also diverge into the concept of mining Asteroids for their mineral content as the…

Read More >

Futurist Marcus Barber discusses the Future of Sex (Part Two) on ABC Darwin with Vicki Kerrigan

Nov 10, 2011

The MP3 file below captures part two of our chat looking at the Future of Sex. Picking up on the theme of new technology that popped up towards the end of our first discussion in week one, here we move onto haptics and holographics and the extension of that technology from beyond the bedroom and…

Read More >

History as Future – TV Show Who’s Been Sleeping in My House?

Nov 8, 2011

Who’s Been Sleeping In My House? is a new Australian series presented by archaeologist Adam Ford that looks at the stories behind some of our old homes. Adam is the man behind the recent ‘Ned Kelly’ dig among other great archaeology finds here in Australia and the UK. As a futurist I’m always interested in…

Read More >

Professional Futurists running their Follow The Sun Futures Program

Oct 25, 2011

The Association of Professional Futures is holding its first Virtual Gathering, following the sun from Europe, across North America and finishing in the Australia pacific zone. It kicks off tomorrow and links to the program and registration (it’s only $45 for guests for a program featuring some of the worlds most prominent futurists)   You…

Read More >

Marcus Barber on ABC Darwin – the Future of Sex Part 2

Oct 24, 2011

I join Vicki Kerrigan on ABC Darwin radio where we continue our discussion about the future of sex. We consider three main areas in this session – smart phone applications; remote relationships and the combination of haptics and holographics as one the emerging means by which we’ll maintain physical contact.   You can download the…

Read More >