2014 – The International Year of Food Security
Continuing his run of suggesting an annual theme and idea of world focus for the year ahead, Futurist Marcus Barber has declared 2014 to be the International Year of Food Security. ‘The year ahead is going to bring into sharp focus, what has often been seen as an ‘other-world’ problem’ Barber says. ‘For a number of decades, lack of food and lack of access to food has resided in the domains of the developing world. With the confluence of climate impacts, land becoming unfit for food production, water stress, and costs, for perhaps the first time in living memory, these issues will be present in developed countries too’
Food security covers a much wider challenge than just access to food and this report on climate change, water and food security must be considered seriously.
Food Security also includes food quality and brings into awareness the difference between food, and food products – those high fat, high sugar manufactured goods that are food substitutes rather than natural foods. If costs of natural food goods are beyond the reach of everyday people, then this has a major impact on poor people who have few choices about dietary control. The downstream impact is shifted to costs associated with health and medical services. A short cut early on is often linked to downstream costs of much greater magnitude especially related to diabetes and obesity.
This position has been heightened by accident recently when McDonalds used its internal website to advise it’s own staff to avoid fast foods due to health concerns. This link ‘McDonald’s to staff: Avoid Burgers and Fries‘ explains the challenge.
For many years, food security has been linked to over-population. To an extent this is generally accepted as accurate but when you consider that spoilage rates of food in transport is said to be up to 40%, then we can understand that an awful lot of food is produced that never makes it to the end consumer. The energy and resources lost in that model of production have been offset by the ability for countries to over produce the amount of food needed. But with the collapse in water sources and the poisoning of farmlands (see this article on China’s polluted soils), such a position is no longer valid. Increasingly food desitined for overseas markets in the form of food aid, will need to be redirected to internal needs in developed countries.
As countries grapple with energy issues, there is additional emerging issue that I refer to as the ‘Eat or Extract’ dilemma. Simply put, with the frenzy of searching for new energy sources through untested technologies like fracking, societies are now faced with choosing between extraction of gas for energy needs, or maintenance of farmlands (a common target for fracking wells) for food production. Questions on fracking exist but one thing is very clear – the amount of fresh water used is extensive and that water is mixed with chemicals that are unfit for human consumption. Eat or Extract.
In Australia there has been a marked increase in people accessing Material Aid agencies seeking food assistance. This problem is often tied into housing issues, but in recent times, the challenge is extending to people that might be considered ‘suitably’ housed, flagged in this report on Homlessness.
There have been steps to address the issue with the rise in Farmers Markets, local food growers groups, food recovery agencies like the Foodshare Food Bank and Fareshare help minimise food wastage. Community gardens are increasing but are not guarantees especially as this example of New York City allowing a 40 year old community market garden to be bulldozed for a commercial development shows.
So this year with climate expected to damage crops, water stress increasing, Eat or Extract issues abound and food wastage still a huge source of loss, both developed and developing nations face a challenge for the issue of food access and production. For 2014 to be an area of focus then, we need it to be The International Year of Food Security
China’s Gift to the world, the #CaronaVirus is not yet as severe as what the US gift to the world (Spanish Flu) was, and still signs are clear that disruption to normality is the key theme. In that the light, the Australian Football League (AFL) need to plan for crowd free rounds. Because that’s…
Read More >Potential Impacts of the Carona Virus will cascade across the globe. With deaths on track to climb quickly now that it has reached epidemic proportions of infection, the fat tail extends to the corporate sector. With whole areas of China on lock down, factories are shuttered and with it, Multinational and local firms who’ve…
Read More >Five days ago I tested positive for Covid. Here’s a bit of what the story has been like so far Tuesday was spent moving on of the offspring out of their rental property in country Vic and back down to Melbourne’s suburbs. A hot day of heavy lifting and a fair bit of driving. By…
Read More >Decision making is an interesting field of inquiry. I’m about three months in to a long term contract with an organisation working on enabling its people to be more effective and the thought that keeps popping into my head is ‘Start with the End’ When you start with the end in mind (know your desired…
Read More >There’s a little problem with food production in the world that not many people want to talk about. About half the world is being starved to death whilst we are seeing a spike in obesity due to over-consumption of food. The strange thing about that issue is that both ends of the food consumption divide…
Read More >My most recent long term client contract had me specialise in Employee Engagement, something I’d done consistently at the Senior and Middle Managers level. But this client need was across the board and at a time when major changes were occuring. With a previous survey of their staff in two states and across three…
Read More >Great to see some quality collaboration between the City of Casey and City of Greater Dandenong aimed at addressing or tackling Social Issues and importantly bridging the divide between ‘our area’ and ‘their area’ artificial boundaries. Well done to both Councils Here’s the oveview of what they’re doing. This one looks to be an…
Read More >Most people who’ve been involved in planning and strategy development will have heard of VUCA – Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, Ambiguous. Emerging out of the US War College in 1987, it’s come to be more widely used by consultancies aiming to at least ‘sound smart’. But that’s not the main problem with its usage Instead…
Read More >In short – ‘No’. In days of yore manufacturing data meant jobs being done, employed people being paid, sales being made. But with robotics and off-shoring in many parts of Australian manufacturing, it’s no longer the value indicator it once was. In the US it is an even less reliable indicator because in the…
Read More >I’ve writen a fair bit over the years about the need to move futures thinking out of a theoretical approach and into a more applied model. Recently I’ve come off a 6 month project working with the Asian Productivity Organisation, an entity that brings together 20 member countries and their core government policy…
Read More >