Why the Future of Vertical Farming is Two Decades Ahead of Expectations

Like lab grown meats, Vertical Farming is going to be part of the future of food. For now it might be best to compare them to small scale battery storage on the electrical grid that can help balance out spikes of demand in the system and provide an output directly where needed.

 

Eventually (like solar, wind and batteries) Vertical Farming will be a normal part of food production. It has a long way to go before it can replace factory agricultuire seen in the broadacre corporate farming. But what it can do and has already shown, is that it is a viable way to grow *some food crops, mainly leafy greens. And now in an entirley unexpected way, Vertical Farming finds itself two decades ahead of where we might expect it to be. Those who’ve read my other articles on here or heard my media presentations know I’ve been talking about vertical farming for about a decade or so. The early photos of the Sky-A-Gro-Gro concept in Singapore is still one of my favourite presentation images. Just recently I read this article by Laura Leavitt which provides an excellent overview of Vertical farming

There are three main reasons Vertical farming is two decades ahead of an expected trajectory we see with the normal slow take off, build up and securing of a market for most start up concepts.  Vertical Farming concept, been given a leap forward through doors being opened by a need for a more secure food supply chain. That supply chain has been crunched by #Covid19 with both a loss of workforce through so many unfortunate deaths, and people no longer choosing to work in precarious spaces, or a loss of key parts of the transport supply chain reducing the flow of goods. Vertical Farms require much less people power in terms of getting food to market

The improved awareness of food transport challenges highlights how much we have taken easy supply for granted which has triggered our preference for food security. That food security means our second reason is ‘closer to home’ and what can be more ‘closer to home’ than a vertical farm right in the neighbourhood?  Vertical Farming requires less transport inputs and also lowers wastage in food loss such transportation and handling requires.

The third main reason is the sudden availability of space in urban environments. Where as currently indoor farms and vertical farms are niche ideas that have been forced onto small disued urban plots or found space in a urban-industrial spaces that are financially viable in terms of rental costs, now the options are about to become available in abundance. A model constrained by location costs for suitable site availability is about to have a huge influx of near reverse demand.  That demand is going to be driven by commercial property trusts and property managers who are set to hit the panic button en masse. For commercial property managers and property fund managers in Melbourne and Sydney (and in other cities around the world), the numbers are in. People do not want to come back to the office as they once did. HR directors are finally accepting that work from home works, and CFO’s have finally looked at the exorbitant money spent on Sqm of office space in cities verticals that is no longer needed. That saved money goes straight to the bottom line in profit

And what pray the tell could you use those vast caverns of redundant office space for? The future space has opened up for vertical farms far quicker and in a decidedly unexpected way. Like the now rapid uptake of lab grown proteins, Vertical Farming is about to have it’d day in the non-sun!

The Future of Sex Part One

Oct 17, 2011

In this chat with Vicki Kerrigan on radio ABC Darwin we discuss the future of sex. This is the first of potentially three conversations where we look at the increasing reach of technology way beyond current online match making sites, the social pressures driving the use of technology as well as the use of technology…

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Soft House Prices or Unrealistic Vendors?

Oct 16, 2011

There’s been a bit of discussion in recent months about a softening housing market around Australia but I wonder how much of it is more indicative of unrealistic expectations on behalf of sellers? In futures work we think in terms of Assumptions and Expectations and aim to test our understanding and so I offer this…

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We’ve Been hit by an email Virus and apologise to everyone impacted

Oct 12, 2011

Unfortunately it looks like my main email address has been hijacked and has been used to send out a series of spam emails. I’d like to apologise to anyone who has received some junk email purporting to come from ‘desiredfutures’ with a series of html links asking you to go and have a look. You…

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The Future of Plastic Bottles

Oct 10, 2011

Given the amount of plastic swimming in our oceans and rivers and the volume littering our land, the NT Government is aiming to introduce compulsory returns legislation on soft-drink bottles (as happens in South Australia), something that has apparently raised the ire of bottler, Coca Cola. Although they’ve recently backed away from their initial statement…

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Is Alcohol or Cannabis more Harmful?

Oct 7, 2011

Deciphering the hype from reality with regard to drug use can be a challenge for most of us. Professor David Nutt in the UK has given me permission to post a link to the paper he has co-authored with Ruth Weissenborn that looks at the reality of a comparison of harm caused by two common…

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The Future of Clothing Part Two

Oct 4, 2011

Vicki Kerrigan and I finished off our discussion about the Future of Clothing on ABC Darwin yesterday. We discussed invisibility style cloaks, singlets that monitor your heart rate and stress levels, runners that capture electricity to power your wearable electronics and a few philosophical questions regarding our ability to deal with stress.   The file…

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The coming age of Robotics in In-Home Healthcare

Sep 12, 2011

I’ll be talking with Vicki Kerrigan again this afternoon, this time discussing robotics as in-home carers. I’m due on at about 4.45pm Darwin time which is around 5.15pm on the eastern seaboard. You can listen to the audio stream via the link below   http://www.abc.net.au/darwin/programs/webcam_radio.htm?ref=listenlive  If all things go well, I’ll record the session and…

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Australia 2030 – a view from Siemens

Aug 30, 2011

I recently attended a session with South East Business Networks where the CEO of Siemens Australasia provided some great ideas as to where Australian Manufacturing was headed and could go, and indeed perhaps needed to go. What I found most useful from Allan Goller’s perspective was the encouragement for businesses to just get on with…

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The Future of clothing

Aug 26, 2011

In this very brief chat with Vicki Kerrigan on ABC Darwin, we kick off the discussion of the future of clothing – not the ‘style’ elements but the functional elements like capturing perspiration to convert for water. You can listen to the audio via the   link available here – cue it up about a…

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Futurist Marcus Barber on Scenarios for Water Industry at World Water Week

Aug 19, 2011

Marcus Barber will present the case study of his work with Central Highlands Water and their use of Scenarios for Strategy setting at World Water Week in Stockholm this Thursday. You can follow the twitter feed via #watermanagement, #rightfuture or #wwweek This case study looks at the flaws in a reliance on forecasting as the…

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