Could Yasi be worse than expected?

Cyclone Yasi heads towards Queenslands North East coast this morning with significant concerns for residents. There is potentially an added danger based on the way cylones work. Typically a cyclone needs two things – heat and water, which is why they can dissipate quickly once they head inland. However Yasi hits following a couple of ‘preconditioning’ events that could make it continue even inland

Firstly, there’s been a cyclone a week ago that has dumped significant amounts of rain onto an already very wet landmass, and there is a hugh high pressure system just to the south edge of the cyclone. Potentially this might mean that even as Yasi smashes into the mainland, it will still find a significant volume of water and heat to allow it to continue. It has been said that Yasi will produce enough energy to power the entire worlds energy needs for a whole year!

It is of no comfort to know that these types of ‘one off events’ have been predicted by global warming climate models for over a decade. to likely to continue. What is becoming ever more certain is that the warming global climate will force us to ‘live with’ floods, storms, heat waves and more at ever increasing numbers. I wish those in its path, the best of luck

2015 will be the International Year of Battery Technology

Dec 30, 2014

For the past few years I’ve decided to declare each year to be something I think the world needs or is likely to see. It’s not so much about the prediction but more about the likely focus that will benefit the world. So I’m declaring this year to be the International Year of Battery Technology…

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Why Uber is not part of the Sharing Economy

Dec 17, 2014

I keep reading posts that Uber is an example of the ‘sharing economy’, the one in which people freely share what they have with others. But it’s NOT – it is instead part of what I call the ‘Utilisation Economy’ which is about use of spare capacity. About 15 years ago I began writing about…

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Incumbent models are vulnerable to leapfrogging technology. Here’s why:

Nov 8, 2014

One of the reasons I founded The Australian Strategic Planning Institute was to ensure that high quality futures perspectives were included in the Strategic Planning process. Typically they were not which meant too many businesses and organisations were planning for futures that just would not exist as expected, meaning wasted resources and sometimes and marked…

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Down the Drain with a Four Minute Shower – redux

Oct 21, 2014

As Victorian edges its way into a new drought phase and plays catch up to other parts of the country, I’ve been pushed to remember an article I wrote about our then State Government’s push to get people to reduce the length of their showers. The Four Minute Shower was an attempt to highlight just…

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A 2003 Prediction about 2015 One Step Closer to Coming True!

Oct 14, 2014

Sometimes when you look at enough assorted pieces of information a clear pattern emerges. In a previous role I was tasked with looking at the Future of Education, a topic I delved deeply into for almost 3 years. And in 2003 in a piece titled ‘The Future of Commercial Education’ I predicted that by 2015,…

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How Digital Agencies Will Fail Everytime

Sep 30, 2014

Tomorrow I’ll be at the State Library of Victoria as part of the #V21 Digital Summit. In my futurist, pragmatist role I’ll be presenting few ideas about why ‘Your Future is NOT an App’, then later in the day facilitating an onstage debate about Disruption’s role in Innovation. And if it is anything to go…

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Are Interest Rate Levers too Clumsy for a Teetering Economy?

Aug 16, 2014

I’ve been having a think lately about whether the use of Interest Rate movements by the Reserve Bank is actually too clumsy an instrument for effective economic management. The potential weakness has emerged only in recent times as the signs of a world-wide economic melt down have begun to expose one of the limitations of…

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Leading with One Hand Tied behind Your Back

Aug 4, 2014

There’s a few problems with the successful leadership lists that bounce their way around the internet. In my opinion they lack context – the reality check that only comes by having a full appreciation of an individual organisation’s particular circumstances. Unfortunately many of these lists of ‘required leadership behaviours’ offer shallow quick fix advice that…

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Why Coal’s biggest problem right now, is not renewables

Jul 24, 2014

There’s no doubt that coal has a legitimacy problem with large swathes of the public around the world. Once a darling of energy and still in relative abundant supplies, Coal provides significant levels of energy per gram consumed. Yet the end outcome is now known to be incredibly harmful to localised communities needing to breathe…

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How do you handled ‘the unsettled’ transitions?

Jul 11, 2014

At almost every stage in a shift in the way societies and organisations operate, there comes a period of extreme ‘unsettled-ness’. This period may show itself in the form of the doldrums (where things seem unusually calm but nothing seems to be happening) or in busyness (where there’s lots of activity but nothing seems to…

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